Month: September 2026

Hello, Darkness, My Old Friend: The Ghosts of Aggie Football Past, Present, and Future

I didn’t plan to write a blog after the LSU game. I spent the weekend in Salzburg and Munich thinking there wouldn’t be much to say. I expected LSU to beat us, but I assumed it might be a decently fought game until LSU pulled away at some point in the second half.

What I’d seen in the first three games for A&M and LSU didn’t give me much confidence in the Aggies.

I debated waking up in the middle of the night to watch the game via the pirated feed system I devised. It would be on at 1:30 am. I’m old. These days, I like to be asleep by 1:30 am.

Would it be worth waking up? Could I check the score in the morning and watch the condensed version on the train ride to Munich?

However, like any junkie, I couldn’t resist the potential hit, so I set my alarm for 1:30.

Part of me is glad I did. There’s no real way to understand what happened without watching it live. I watched the first half and then tried to go back to sleep, but I couldn’t. Like a junkie, I went back for another hit, firing up my pirated feed to watch the third quarter. With about 5 minutes left in the third quarter, I turned it off. It was 4:00 am in Salzburg, and I wasn’t going to let Aggie Football ruin my trip. Even a junkie sometimes has limits.

So here I am in my lederhosen on a 10-hour flight from Munich to Houston writing about a miserable state for Aggie Football. I never wanted to be here. I planned to wear normal shorts back, but my lederhosen are too thick to cram into an already stuffed carry-on. So I’ll sit here in my uncomfortable lederhosen writing about the sad state of Aggie Football.

Enough about my traditional German celebration attire; let’s get to Aggie Football.

The LSU Game:

I’m assuming most of you watched the LSU game. You know what happened and don’t need me to detail it.

I had a bad feeling, but it was worse than bad. The Aggies were never really competitive. Sure, a few plays gave us a little hope, but we were never in that game.

Just flat-out out-coached. I know there’s lots of blame on the players, but this game was an embarrassment for the coaching staff. 197 yards to 506 yards.

The talent difference on the LSU roster is not over twice as much bigger as those total yards might indicate. The Aggies have plenty of talent.

That disparity in yards leads me to believe there’s a MASSIVE difference in the coaching at the two schools.

You can hate Lane Kiffin as a person all you want. Plenty of reasons for that. However, he is one helluva football coach. On Saturday night in Baton Rouge, I think he exposed Mike Elko for who he is and who he isn’t.

Mike Elko is in his third year at Texas A&M. Lane Kiffin is obviously in his first year at LSU. The football products on the field couldn’t have been more different. I don’t believe the talent is far off from each other. Sure, Marcel Reed is a limiting factor, but the Aggie program has plenty of overall talent.

Before this game, I almost published something about this being the biggest game of Mike Elko’s career at A&M. I thought about writing it on the plane trip to Vienna, but decided not to.

I thought it might come across as hyperbole because it seems like whatever is next for anything is the most important thing in time for whatever it is. I don’t want to be one of those people, and I always try to keep the big picture in mind.

In my mind, Mike Elko really needed to beat Lane Kiffin, considering Elko is in his third year at A&M and Kiffin is in his first at LSU. It’s a bad look to lose to a first-year coach when you’ve been the better team the prior two years.

Even worse, Mike Elko has been beaten by first-year coaches in back-to-back weeks, pretty soundly. It’s a little surreal that it’s been this bad.

There are still eight games left in the season, but it appears one program is clearly on the rise and the other is on the borderline of a free fall.

It’s not an overreaction to be concerned about the state of Aggie Football based on what happened in Baton Rouge. A trend has been developing, and it doesn’t look good.

Arizona State:

After the Arizona State game, I wondered if we should be worried about how the Arizona State offense racked up yards against the Aggie defense and our offense struggled.

We obviously outscored them thanks to two defensive touchdowns and a muffed punt return.

Arizona State had 369 total yards and the Aggies had 255. That was really concerning to me despite the score.

As I combed through the stats after the game, I thought I found two positives. Even though Arizona State rushed for 115 yards on us, they didn’t have a run over 20 yards and didn’t have a rushing touchdown. I was hopeful our defense could clamp down on the running game when we needed to.

The other positive I thought was that their one receiver had pretty much all of their passing yards and a little over half of their offense. I was hopeful that receiver was a total badass.

I still think he’s a pretty good receiver, but it’s crystal clear now that Kenny Dillingham just used his best offensive weapon to exploit a clear weakness. Other than Dezz Ricks, we can’t cover anything.

Kenny Dillingham exposed it, Will Stein at Kentucky exploited it, and Lane Kiffin exploded it.

We beat Arizona State simply because we had much better players who could create turnovers. Give Kenny Dillingham the Aggie roster and Mike Elko the Sun Devil roster; Kenny Dillingham blows the doors off Mike Elko. I don’t think there’s much question about that.

So the positives I hoped I’d find from the Arizona State game weren’t positives at all. We have way more talent than Arizona State.

That’s clear to me now.

Is Mike Elko a Good Coach?:

I don’t think Mike Elko is a bad coach, but right now, he doesn’t look like a good coach. He’s certainly nowhere near a great coach.

I’ve written about this a bit, but there are quite a few concerning data points about Mike Elko as a head coach.

I have this discussion from time to time with other Aggies, and I get the same argument: he’s a guy who knows how to win, or is gonna figure it out, or something along those lines.

They’ve bought into the “Elko Era” aura. Like someone who voted for a politician who’s not doing what they said they would do; that person is going to defend the politician they voted for no matter the results they’re seeing.

My argument/discussion point is always this: In his career as a head coach, point to me the specific examples that prove he’s a good head coach.

The first response I always get is about what he did at Duke. Sure, he won more games than he lost at Duke, but Manny Diaz had a better first two years than Elko did. By the smallest margin, but Diaz did have better first two years than Elko. Would Aggie fans be excited about hiring Manny Diaz? They’re basically identical coaches in their first two years at Duke.

The next argument is always that he got the Aggies to the CFP in his second year as head coach. While impressive, if you look under the hood, there are some absolute concerns. The quality of the teams we beat in 2025, aside from Notre Dame, isn’t that great.

Ironically enough, we’re a Marcel Reed incompletion away from our final offensive play in South Bend, and the entire 2025 CFP argument unravels. We’re also a Shane Beamer not being a complete and utter moron away from that 2025 CFP argument unraveling.

We lose to Notre Dame and South Carolina, and the entire “Elko Era” aura never stood a chance coming into the 2026 season. I’ll absolutely give Elko credit for winning those games, but we were a lot closer to losing those games than we were to changing the outcome of the Texas and Miami games.

The other thing Elko defenders gloss over is the utter collapse at the end of the 2024 season. We got completely pushed around by South Carolina in the second half; we gave up 21 points early in the first half to Auburn, got pushed around by Texas the entire game, and then collapsed late against USC in the bowl game.

That loss to USC in the bowl game might be the worst loss of Elko’s career. I know bowl games like that don’t really matter anymore, but Elko walked into that game with a good portion of guys who would be playing for him in 2025. He had a lot of guys playing for something. Lincoln Riley walked into that game with a completely depleted team, to the point that he was playing his third-string quarterback, who hadn’t played all season.

Lincoln Riley hasn’t proven to be a good coach at USC. However, Riley took a depleted roster and beat Mike Elko, who had a team with something to prove in 2025. Sure, Mike Elko turned out to have a great 2025 season, so it’s moot, but from a coaching standpoint, he lost to Lincoln Riley with a far superior roster.

That’s not the mark of a good coach. Good coaches win that game.

How Bad Is This Current Team?:

Now, we’re four games in in 2026 with a 2-2 record. We have two SEC losses to first-year head coaches. They weren’t close losses either. Kentucky and LSU pounded us. If we’d lost both games like the Miami loss last season, we could’ve blamed Marcel Reed and moved on.

That ain’t the case. Our football team has MASSIVE issues right now. It goes far beyond one guy, which is the point I’ve been trying to make all season.

Mike Elko and his hand-picked staff are getting exposed.

I think there’s enough talent to win eight games still this season, but I don’t see it happening unless Elko wakes up. I know a lot of people just rolled their eyes there, but this team does have quite a bit of talent. You can scheme around our quarterback deficiencies. It’ll require Elko to find his defensive magic so we can work on establishing the running game.

I don’t think it comes close to happening, but a change in coaching style can salvage this season to some degree.

We saw Mike Sherman go on a three-game losing streak in the middle of the season, then turn it around and win the final six games in 2010. It can be done.

I don’t think Mike Elko has it in him. He’s stubborn like Jimbo, believing he can’t unravel all of the work they did in the offseason. It’s too risky. He’ll win or lose with the plan he devised in January.

As for the schedule, we’re not beating Texas, and there’s at least one more loss. I think Bama is a lock for a loss as well, but I need to see more of them. They remind me a little bit of the A&M team from last year.

I do think we beat Arkansas, Missouri, and The Citadel. So that’s a 5-7 season as the absolute floor. We’ll out-talent both of those SEC teams.

I think South Carolina and Oklahoma are also winnable, but not if Elko doesn’t change how he’s coaching. That could get us to 7-5, which seems really remarkable right now.

I want to think we can beat Tennessee too, but who knows. That could be 8-4 if Elko wakes up.

We could also go 4-8, scratching out one SEC win, likely over Arkansas.

I have no idea, as I don’t know if Elko can admit to the reality of where he’s put this program.

Here are some random thoughts on Elko’s struggles as a head coach. I’ve written about most of these, so you can skip sections if you want.

Elko’s In-Game Coaching:

I think Elko really struggles with being an in-game coach. He can’t process what’s happening on the field in real time to make adjustments or guide his assistants. When I watch him on the field, it feels like he’s just more on his headset listening to offensive calls or too focused on calling plays for the defense.

He’s not seeing the whole game. He devised a plan in January and has been working on it at every practice. He’s just letting the plan play out with no direct involvement during games.

He’s not adapting or giving his staff guidance during the game.

I have one specific example of him being disconnected from his staff, and it seems minor, but I don’t think it is. In his first game against Notre Dame at Kyle Field, it was obvious the game was over, but we had one final offensive drive. It was a two-score game; we were out of timeouts, and it was under two minutes. Our offense threw an incomplete pass.

The cameras caught Elko on the sideline yelling at a staffer, “Tell him to run the “effin” ball. Tell him to run the “effin” ball.” It’s obvious he wanted Colin Klein to run the ball so the clock would run and get the game over.

I know it seems minor, and most people laughed that Elko was dropping F Bombs on his staff, but I don’t think it’s minor. Didn’t he give Klein guidance on what to do on the final drive? Was Klein being defiant? Elko didn’t want to get on the headset and give the direct order, so it was crystal clear?

It just came across like the head coach and offensive coordinator were completely disconnected. I know it seems minor, but I think it’s a sign that Elko and his staff aren’t on the same page in games.

It seems like he lets the offensive coordinator do whatever, and he’s just gonna call timeouts and make fourth-down decisions. He could be helping the offensive coordinator by telling the OC what he sees from a defensive standpoint.

I know Elko is calling a big part of the defense, but I think it’s all too much for him. He’s not giving the offense any feedback, and it’s clear other coaches have figured out how to attack his defense. He can’t devote enough time to defense while still keeping an eye on the rest of the team on offense and special teams.

He has a first-year coordinator on each side, so how can he manage it all? He chose this setup, so it’s on him.

Elko’s 4th down decisions have also been very questionable. I don’t mean having the stones to go for it. I mean having the stones AND a plan to get it. There’s no point in going for it if you don’t have a plan actually to get it. Too many times Elko has just run the ball up the middle and been stuffed. In games where it’s clear we can’t run up the middle, we should do it only when necessary.

It’s the definition of insanity: doing the same thing over and over again expecting different results. He’ll decide to go for it and run the ball up the middle, only to get stuffed.

It’s like he’s not watching the game in front of him and has his mind up on some game plan that’s not working.

Coaching Mentors:

Most of Elko’s time on staffs has been with Dave Clawson at Wake Forest, Brian Kelly at Notre Dame, and Jimbo Fisher at A&M.

I don’t always believe a coaching tree defines success, but I do think it’s a great indicator.

Elko certainly hasn’t worked under any elite-level coaches. In fact, he’s worked for two coaches who have the largest buyouts in college football history.

Yikes.

Elko certainly isn’t from the Saban tree or anywhere near it.

Staff Hires:

The majority of his staff hires have been comfort hires. The only two that haven’t been left after the second season. That’s obviously Colin Klein and Jay Bateman. Klein got his dream gig, and Elko ran Bateman off.

Bateman showed back up at Kentucky and promptly helped put an absolute beatdown on Elko and his team. Revenge is an amazing motivator, but still, it’s Kentucky,

Meanwhile, Elko promotes guys from within the program like he’s running Nick Saban’s rehab coaching clinic. He’s clearly not doing that. Wiggins has no experience calling plays, and Hemphill has one season of calling plays at James Madison.

Buster Faulkner was the OC at Georgia Tech the past three seasons and had some pretty amazing success. Ironically, he did so with former Aggie great Haynes King. He’s now running the Florida offense and doing quite well. So much so, he’s likely to get a head coaching gig next season.

Did Elko even look at him?

Steve Sarkisian fired who I thought was a pretty good defensive coordinator to get Will Muschamp. I get Will Muschamp is also fun to hate on, but in a vacuum, he can run a defense. I think Sark improved his defense by not being complacent.

Sark has admitted part of why he hired Muschamp was so he could focus more on the offense. Even if you disagree with how Sark is handling his program, it’s interesting to admit you can’t handle it all, and then go out to find a potential solution.

I know Elko wants to run his own defense, it seems, but he could have potentially brought in another defensive coordinator. I get that he’s never going to hire Will Muschamp to coach his defense, but he could bring in someone with more experience and skins on the wall.

Instead, it looks like he’s running a government organization where you promote from within because it’s easier and not based on merit.

The Football Part of Things:

This ties into the staff hiring issues, but right now, he has a football team that seems to have no clue what they’re supposed to be doing.

I know everyone wants to blame Marcel Reed, and that’s fine, but the current issues with the football team go well beyond Marcel Reed.

While I do think there’s a lot of talent on this team, it’s either being miscoached or the players are just flat-out football idiots. Either way, it’s a bad look for Elko, as he’s in charge of the coaching staff and these are all guys he wanted. He’s not playing with someone else’s players right now.

This team has had one blown assignment after another.

Case in point: LSU’s 4th-and-1 touchdown. LSU motioned a tight end over, and the defense let him slip down the field COMPLETELY uncovered. I can’t begin to tell you how bad this is. That’s basic football where you have to have someone assigned to every eligible receiver. Nobody runs a defense where a guy streaks down the field completely uncovered.

To make it worse, it’s a play design that Lane Kiffin clearly knew would exploit the Aggie defense.

For whatever reason, Kiffin clearly thought that if he motioned that tight end to the other side, the Aggies wouldn’t cover him.

Kentucky did something similar the week before, but they motioned a tackle over, leaving the tight end, and we didn’t cover the guy at all.

This was even worse. There was no real deception attempt. An eligible receiver switched sides, and nobody on the Aggie defense tried to cover him.

It was 4th and 1, and the play design the whole time was to hit the tight end streaking downfield. Leavitt never even tried to run it or hand off. He was always going to pass to the tight end. I know Kiffin is an awesome offensive mind, but it’s concerning that we run any defense where we lose an eligible receiver that motions to the other side.

Kiffin did his trademark throw up the play sheet and sprint down the sideline. Hate the guy all you want, but when he does that, he’s telling you he cooked you. He knew what the defense would do on that play.

He exploited it for a touchdown.

Beyond that play, there’s just routine busted assignments all over the field. It seems every other play the offensive line has a missed assignment. The linebackers fill the wrong gap. The safeties struggle to cover their assignments.

The whole scheme seems screwed up.

Especially on defense. Elko keeps trying to get pressure with his four linemen. I do think there’s a ton of talent on the defensive line, but it ain’t working. They can’t get pressure on their own, and Elko refuses to adjust. He claims the numbers the offense is using to protect are working against them, but that should mean the secondary should have a better chance of covering guys. But that ain’t happening.

Run some freaking blitzes, Mike. Disguise some coverage and pressure. What’s happened to you?

I go back to Elko seems to have an issue diagnosing what’s happening in real time because he’s got too much on his plate.

Offensively, we all know Reed’s issues. Beyond that, Reed has lost all confidence. I think he’s pressing because he’s not sure what he’s supposed to do as a quarterback. Plus, he’s getting pressure because his offensive line is blowing assignments, so it’s a perfect storm: a limited Reed with no confidence.

Once again, I’m not defending Reed, but his coaching staff isn’t helping him at all. The offensive scheme is not working, and the staff isn’t changing anything. They’re just letting a struggling quarterback keep struggling.

The one wild thing that’s happened with this offense is that it’s gotten better at running the ball the last two games. Against Kentucky, the Aggies had 90-something rushing yards in the first half. Rueben Owens had 7 carries for 43 yards in the first half against LSU. That’s 6.1 yards per carry with a long of 16, which is really good. We consistently gained yards on the ground but had to abandon the running game.

In the last two games, we did a decent job running the ball, but the defense gave up too many points, and we had to abandon the running game. That means we have to rely on a quarterback who struggles to complete passes and an offensive line that blows blocking assignments.

Not ideal.

In my book, Elko and his staff bear most of the blame for the football issues. And Elko hired all of these guys like he’s running a government entity.

Elko’s Rise to Head Coach:

A lot of people have turned a blind eye to how Elko became the head coach of Texas A&M.

Let’s revisit that if you’re interested.

Elko was seen as an ace-level defensive coordinator at Notre Dame and A&M. I firmly believe that’s accurate.

For whatever reason, though, he was never strongly considered for big head coaching gigs. Mike Elko spent four seasons running the defense under Jimbo Fisher. He did extremely well.

However, when the time came after four successful seasons at A&M, Duke was his best coaching opportunity.

Some believe he took the Duke job to be closer to his parents. I believe that’s true, but it’s also clear to me Duke was his best opportunity as a head coach. He didn’t have any other head coaching opportunities to take.

Duke isn’t a terrible program, but it’s clear Elko has big program aspirations. At least I believe he does, the way he talks. No program bigger than Duke looked at him as a head coaching candidate.

Fast forward two years later and we fire Jimbo. It’s more and more clear we fired Jimbo with no real plan in place. I believe it was a Hail Mary by our then Athletic Director to save his job.

Our Athletic Director appeared to run a legit national coaching search but somehow wound up with Mark Stoops as the candidate. This appears to be unknown to the higher-ups at A&M. The news gets leaked, and a massive backlash ensues.

The fan revolt that Saturday night certainly didn’t help, but I’ve been told Stoops was never going to be hired by the true decision-makers—the fan backlash, while fun, didn’t really matter.

We had an Athletic Director and decision-makers clearly not communicating with one another.

Also remember on that fateful night, Mike Elko told Duke administrators he would be staying since he didn’t get the A&M gig. He had already turned down the Michigan State job. It seems A&M and Michigan State were the only ones interested in him, as he wasn’t a candidate anywhere else.

Somehow, through all of this, we let our Athletic Director run a coaching search when he never had any real authority to execute it.

So embarrassed by the Stoops news leak and panicked to make a hire, one Regent fires up his private jet with our Athletic Director in tow and flies to Durham, North Carolina, to see if they can convince Elko to take the job.

According to a Washington Post article from last season, they got on the plane with no clue whether Elko was even taking the job.

There was a coaching search, but the Athletic Director botched it, and then the Regents decided to hire who they always wanted.

It wasn’t a true coaching search at all.

It was the very definition of a panic hire. It’s not the worst hire we could have made, as Elko had and still has some promise, but it was 100% a panic hire because our Athletic Director completely botched the hiring process with his final candidate.

As has happened at A&M many times in the past, leadership is not on the same page. And the result shows it.

Hindsight is always 20/20, but there are two names we could have absolutely hired in that cycle: Lane Kiffin and Curt Cignetti. I get that the Aggies would never want a coach like Kiffin, and nobody really knew who Cignetti was, but both were clearly in the running to be hired by Texas A&M. We just chose not to consider them for whatever reason.

Had we paused the coaching search to take a day or two to review the information, would the result have been different?

I don’t think so. I think the Regents always wanted Elko, and when our Athletic Director screwed up the coaching search with the Stoops recommendation, it was the perfect window to hire Elko and be done.

For the record, I always wanted Kiffin. I know he’s an odd duck and easy to hate, but the dude can coach college football. We had Johnny Manziel as a quarterback and loved him just fine. We also went hard after Chris Beard as our basketball coach. It’s hard to claim the moral high ground when you factor in those two things.

Either way, when it comes to Elko as a head coach, Duke, Michigan State, and Texas A&M are the only big-name programs ever interested in him at the time of his hiring at Texas A&M.

I know there are rumors of other interest, but I’ll get to those next.

The Extension:

Here is where things get ugly and a little depressing.

Having not learned our lesson, the decision-makers at Texas A&M signed Mike Elko to a contract extension before the South Carolina game.

They also signed Trev Alberts to a long and expensive extension, but that’s a blog for another day.

Penn State was supposed to be interested in Mike Elko, but even if they were, there was NO reason to give him a raise and extension when it happened. Let the season play out to see what he does and if there’s any real interest. He wasn’t Lane Kiffin trying to decide between Ole Miss, Florida, and LSU before the season was over.

As much as I can question Mike Elko as a head coach, I don’t question his character. I don’t see him leaving before the regular season is done.

Besides, if he wants to leave Texas A&M for Penn State, let him go. He’s clearly chasing the bag. Totally fine, but those guys rarely work out.

He was making $7 million a year with five years left on a seven-year deal. His contract was just fine for what he’d produced as a head coach so far.

Instead, the decision-makers at Texas A&M clearly flinched at Elko’s agent pretending he might leave. They agreed to pay Elko $4.5 million more per season on average and add two years to the deal. So he got a ~65% raise with two real games left on the schedule in his second season. Unreal.

It’s not as bad as Jimbo’s deal, as it’s for a couple of years less. There’s also a clause that makes the last two years’ buyout 85% of the $11.5 million, and we can reduce any amount owed if Elko takes another job. Jimbo’s contract didn’t have those last two things, so I guess we learned a little.

Baby steps with the decision-makers at A&M.

Elko’s deal runs through 2032.

The reality is we basically owe Elko around $66 million if we were to fire him today. We won’t, because it’s financially impossible.

To complicate things, we’re still paying Jimbo a little over $7 million a year through 2031.

So for the next five years we owe a little over $18 million a year on coaching salaries to Jimbo and Elko.

Go ahead and read that again – EIGHTEEN MILLION IN COACHING SALARIES FOR THE NEXT FIVE YEARS.

$18 million times five is $90 million in case you’re wondering. Sure makes Jimbo’s $90 million deal over nine years look like a real steal.

Conversely, Georgia, Indiana, and Ohio State pay their coaches who have actually won a national championship $13 million a year.

We’re paying $5 million more a season in head coaching money than those three schools.

It’s an Aggie Joke of the worst magnitude.

I’m not kidding when I say whoever had their hands in any of this should have their authority stripped away. They need to be banished from Athletic Department decisions forever. Politicians in D.C. would call this incredibly reckless spending, and those people waste money every single day.

The people responsible for this extension will never be held accountable for this because they have too much money and/or power, but they need to be. That extension was an egregious error, especially after the Jimbo fiasco.

Elko wasn’t really going anywhere. And if he was, good luck to him. We’ll find someone else.

With this extension, I don’t see how we can get rid of Elko in the next four years at best. That’s through the 2029 season. Even if we fired Elko after 2029, we’d still owe about $42 million to Jimbo and Elko for not coaching the Aggies. With inflation going the way it is, that might not be that much in late 2029, but right now it sure seems like a lot.

$42 million still owed at the end of the 2029 season.

Don’t read that again. It’s too depressing.

Just an unreal decision to extend Elko because we didn’t learn our lesson with Jimbo or pay attention to what was happening with LSU and Brian Kelly.

So I don’t think we can fire Elko any time soon based on financials. Even if we do have someone to write that check, is there any faith we would FINALLY get this hire right after the stumbles with Fran, Sherman, Sumlin, Jimbo, and now Elko?

In all honesty, we should have just kept Jimbo and seen what he could do with NIL money.

The reality is most of these college coaches are the same. Landing the next up-and-comer is really difficult.

We’re just going to have to take our medicine with Elko.

He might even figure it out if we can get him to act like a big major college football coach rather than a government entity.

My Biggest Concern Right Now:

Obviously, that Elko extension is the biggest concern, but my biggest football-related concern is that two of our direct rivals have superior coaches to our head coach.

You can argue all you want about Sark, Kiffin, and Elko, but the data is crystal clear – Sark and Kiffin are superior head coaches. Sark has already beaten Elko twice, and things don’t look good for this season.

Hate Kiffin all you want, but his success at Ole Miss is vastly superior to Elko at A&M right now. And Kiffin just pulled Elko’s pants down, even though Elko had a comparably talented team. Elko’s also been at his program two years longer.

Not looking good for us in Baton Rouge and Austin.

The good news is Venables seems to be in the same position as Elko. It could be worse, where OU has a superior coach as well.

I’m deathly afraid history is about to repeat itself.

Most people forget the demise of R.C. Slocum came about because LSU hired Nick Saban, Texas hired Mack Brown, and OU hired Bob Stoops.

R.C. will blame the lack of facilities. He’s not incorrect, as we were behind other schools, but the reality was that Saban, Brown, and Stoops were all superior head coaches both on the field and in recruiting.

They have the hardware to prove it. Either that or Texas A&M is an infinitely inferior football program. I choose to believe Texas A&M has the resources to win; we don’t have the decision-makers to win.

Our last conference championship came in 1998. That was Brown’s first year at Texas. Stoops would come to OU that offseason for the 1999 season. Saban would arrive at LSU for the 2000 season.

I love R.C., but it was over for him when those guys arrived and surrounded him.

Sark has his machine rolling at Texas, and I think Kiffin is about to do the same at LSU.

Meanwhile, it looks like Venables and Elko are racing to see who can figure out how to get where Sark and Kiffin are. Or be unemployed.

The further the distance, the greater the challenge.

Lucky for us, NIL has some spending limits. I think we’ll still spend money so we can field a competitive roster. It’s not like the old days, when winning schools could stack talent.

The top schools can’t totally outspend each other on acquiring talent, which actually helps us. Even if we’re still struggling, we can still acquire talent.

But the problem is that, all else equal from an NIL standpoint, the best talent will go to the programs that are winning. I’m talking high school and transfers.

I’m afraid that won’t be us right now.

We’ll have a slight talent disadvantage if Elko doesn’t turn this thing around.

Is High School Recruiting a Concern?

Believe it or not, I think high school recruiting will be fine for this season. Most people don’t realize recruiting results are about a year behind the existing season. The recruits we have committed did so during the 2025 season. The other thing is NIL packages are basically locked up for these guys in the 2027 class, which will sign in December.

Sure, there will be some movement, but for the bigger guys we ponied up for, they likely can’t get a similar deal elsewhere. Competing schools have already filled most of the high school NIL budget.

After this class, it becomes a real question, though. Which may work in our favor, as Elko probably needs to focus less on high school recruiting and building through the portal.

Is There a Way Out of This?:

Thanks to the two things fans pretend to hate the most, there absolutely is.

With the transfer portal and NIL, any program can turn its success around in a single season.

Look what Kiffin just did at LSU.

But you need the coaching to do that.

I don’t know if Elko has it in him to change his coaching strategy both on the field and administratively.

He’ll have to become much more objective in evaluating talent on his existing roster and within his coaching staff. No more thinking he can develop players and staff when it’s pretty clear it ain’t there.

If they’re not cutting it, they need to go. From the outside, it appears he doesn’t like having those conversations.

He’ll have to start looking at players and coaches he wouldn’t normally consider.

He’ll have to re-evaluate his in-season practice and in-game coaching style.

He’s going to have to re-evaluate how he spends his NIL.

He’ll have to re-evaluate how he handles high school recruiting and portal transfers. I think right now he’s too focused on high school recruiting, believing he can develop guys. Successful teams seem to be keeping more NIL money for older, proven transfers.

This whole “what was done in January through August wins football games” thing needs to go. The second half against South Carolina wasn’t won in the off-season. Sure, some of it was, but most of it was Shane Beamer botching a massive lead, and Marcel Reed was playing desperate with nothing to lose.

We wouldn’t have gotten our asses kicked so bad in the first half if January through August mattered.

What wins football games is schemes your team can actually execute and the opponent isn’t expecting. It’s adapting each week to your opponent, not thinking you can show up and win because you worked so hard in the off season.

Everyone works hard in the off season. We’re supposed to have the best strength and conditioning coach in the country. Doesn’t look like it right now.

I do believe there’s enough talent on this roster to compete even for the rest of this season. Elko needs to hold himself and his staff accountable for working on schemes that fit the talent. They’re clearly not using it correctly right now.

What he’s doing right now isn’t working and,, honestly, hasn’t been working since he got to A&M. This is more than a two-game blip. If Marcel Reed misses that last pass in South Bend or Shane Beamer doesn’t blow a massive lead last season, the whole “Elko Era” aura isn’t a thing.

There is no College Football Playoff appearance.

And without that CFP appearance last season, the light on the issues is MUCH brighter. And it’s already really bright.

Summary:

Even with everything I just laid out, I desperately want Mike Elko to win and win big.

He needs an amazing quarterback, and he can win a national championship like Gene Chizik, Les Miles, Ed Orgeron, and Dabo Swinney. I think Elko is a much better football mind than those guys. He and Chizik are pretty close defensively, but he’s definitely better than Miles, Orgeron, and Swinney. Those guys are head coaching idiots unless they have talented coordinators and a quarterback.

I like Elko, and thanks to the idiotic contract extension, we can’t get rid of him. He’s ours and ours alone through the 2029 season at the earliest.

I’m going to continue getting my season tickets and supporting the team.

I hope everyone complicit in where we are takes a hard look in the mirror and admits the issues at hand. They need to have the difficult conversations with Trev Albert and Mike Elko.

They need to continue funding the program at a high level. They need to look around and understand what it takes to win big.

They need to stop doing what we’ve always done and expecting different results.

If not, we’ll keep acting as if we can never get over the hump for reasons out of our control.

The reality is the reasons have always been in our control, but we don’t want to change.

Comfort matters more than winning football games. We say differently, but our actions say otherwise. We say we’re a big university with unlimited resources, but our hiring practices say otherwise.

I’ve never wanted to win dirty, but I don’t mind being uncomfortable in the process of winning big.

I’m just tired of watching the same movie believing there’s a different ending. We know how the script ends. We’ve seen it time and time again.

It’s time to tear up the script and try something new.

I’m tired of waiting. I’m ready for it to change.

Even if it makes those in charge uncomfortable, someone needs to be held accountable for the decisions that got us here.

If not, we’ll keep perpetuating the Aggie Jokes and waiting for next year.

It seems to be the Aggie way.

BTHO Arkansas

Thoughts from the Kentucky Game

Sometimes the universe sends out funny signs.

I can’t help but think the universe had a laugh at the expense of Aggie Football on Saturday afternoon at Kyle Field.

It’s not lost on me that in his third year at A&M, Mike Elko lost to a first-year coach who replaced the coach Mike Elko sort of replaced, too.  Of course I’m talking about former sort of Aggie head coach Mark Stoops.

The loss was embarrassing, but I can’t help but laugh at the irony of Mark Stoops’ tie to this.

Beyond that irony, Kentucky’s DC is Jay Bateman, who was Elko’s first DC hire and then ran off after two years.

There’s some really ironic ties between Elko, Stein, and Bateman.

Before I get to anything about the game, I want to shout out to Mario Craver.  He was the lone bright spot in that game.  He was targeted 19 times and caught 11 for 119 yards.  He didn’t find the end zone, but he was the only guy who really showed out for the Aggies.

Wildly enough, on the Aggies’ final possession, Craver beat the defense on the first two plays, but Reed couldn’t get him the ball.  It was likely too late to make a difference if Reed had gotten him the ball, but Mario Craver gave it all he had to the end.

Marcel Reed:

Let me get to Marcel Reed.

I’m shocked people are surprised by what Reed did.  It’s who he is.  I wrote in the off-season that Reed has an interception problem.  He threw two more interceptions, keeping his streak of interceptions against Power 4 opponents alive for five straight games.

Here’s that post if you missed it:

Even more concerning, he’s now thrown interceptions in 14 of the 16 games against P4 opponents since being named the clear starter.  That’s 88% of those games.

He’s also now thrown four touchdowns and three interceptions this season.  That puts his interception-to-touchdown percentage at 75% against P4 opponents this season.  He was 80% last season.

Sure, go ahead and shout, “Reed Sucks!”, but it’s who he is.

I’m not defending Reed at all, but the data coming into this season says this is who he is.  He’s simply doing what he’s always done.  It shouldn’t surprise anyone.

Putting all your ire on Reed ignores the other issues with Aggie football right now.  You’re missing the forest for a single tree.

Who’s To Blame?:

One person is to blame: Mike Elko.

Mike Elko decided to ride with a quarterback who has an interception problem.

Mike Elko hired the offensive staff.  When he hired Wiggins and Lynch, did he ask anything about Reed’s tendency to throw interceptions?  The data was there.

Beyond that, has Mike Elko ever had conversations with Wiggins and Lynch about Reed not being a pocket quarterback?

It’s mind-boggling to me they’re asking Reed to do things he’s clearly not capable of doing because he’s never done it.

That’s what frustrates me most.  You can’t just throw Marcel Reed under the bus without looking at who’s driving the bus.  To me, Elko and his offensive staff are more to blame than Reed himself.  Reed is simply doing what he’s always done.

Go ahead and shout, “Reed Sucks!”, but know there are others complicit in his issues.  The adults that get paid a lot of money are also complicit in this.

They’re asking Reed to do things he’s never done.  He’s not a sit-in-the-pocket guy who makes successful reads.  He benefited from Concepcion and Craver last season.  One of those guys is gone.

To make things worse, Reed’s offensive line is worse than last year.  As we saw in the Texas and Miami game last season, Reed becomes a much worse passer when he’s sped up.

The offensive staff is asking Reed to do things he’s never been successful doing.  Elko isn’t apparently doing anything about it either.

It Ain’t Just Reed:

We have no running game and our offensive line isn’t that great.

I’ve talked about Owens and Morrow not being the guys.  KJ Edwards finally got his chance at some first-half carries, and he gets hurt—just our luck.

I will say we ran the ball really well in the first half, but it faded in the second.  Not sure how much of that was the loss of Edwards, or Kentucky just came out of the half wanting it more.

I know some people think our offensive line isn’t that bad, but they’re not that great either.  According to Pro Football Focus, Reed was pressured 24 times on Saturday.  Reed attempted 49 passes and ran 10 times on Saturday.  So he was pressured on about 40% of his intended passes.  

We got whipped at the line of scrimmage on Saturday.  By Kentucky.  In Elko’s third year as head coach, his offensive line got whipped at the line of scrimmage against a first-year head coach at a basketball school.  That should have never happened, especially by a head coach who consistently preaches about being a program that’s going to win the trench war.

Beyond the running back and the offensive line, the wide receiver room isn’t as deep as people claim.  Sure, losing Bussey on the opening kick hurt.  But Bussey is, at best, the third-best receiver on this team.  If you’ve got depth, you’ve got someone to plug in.

What in the world are our tight ends doing?  I know Micah Riley had a touchdown and a nice fourth down conversion on Saturday.  However, Micah Riley, Kiotti Armstrong, Richie Anderson, and Houston Thomas have six total receptions for 39 yards and one touchdown on the season.

Those guys are regularly in the game and aren’t any offensive threat.  So why keep trotting them out there?  I’m not expecting them to lead the team in receiving, but 39 yards of receiving in 3 games isn’t much production at all.

Kentucky made me jealous with their tight-end usage.

I think Wiggins is doing some good things and Reed is clearly not executing, but there sure seems to be no real clarity on what this offense should be.  I mentioned it earlier, but it feels like Wiggins is calling things Reed can’t execute.

We had 25 rushing attempts by our running backs and 49 pass attempts.  Reed had 10 rushes on his own, but I’m going to classify those as scrambles.  Basically, we had twice as many pass attempts as rushing attempts.  If you count Reed’s scrambles as original pass intentions, it’s even more skewed.

I get that Kentucky scored 21 points in the third quarter, which completely altered our offensive game plan, but I can’t figure out what this offense wants to do.

I know what it shouldn’t be doing, since nothing has changed: having Reed sit in the pocket and hope he’ll pick the defense apart.  Reed was a 53% passer, which isn’t terrible.  He’s usually around 60%, so he wasn’t far off.

Once again, not defending Reed.  Just saying he was basically who he’s always been, while the rest of our offense doesn’t know what its identity is either.

The Main Reason We Lost:

The game was obviously tied at half.  Kentucky came out in the second half and just pushed us around on their first two drives.  Their first drive went for 75 yards, and their second drive went for 83 yards.  Both for touchdowns, making the score 21-7.

Meanwhile, our first offensive possession went for eight yards, and we punted.  Our second possession was the failed fourth down where Marcel failed to convert the pass to Baker.

What most people are missing is that we gained only eight yards on that possession, with the failed Reed pass to Baker on 4th down.

We gained 16 total yards in our first two offensive possessions after the half, and Kentucky gained 158 yards on their first two possessions.  One of those was different from the other.

Sure, Reed should have made that pass on fourth down, but we hadn’t exactly torn it up offensively in our two second-half possessions.

Kentucky then got the ball on a short field and went 33 yards on four plays to basically put the game out of reach.  They would score touchdowns on all three of their offensive possessions in the third quarter.

For a guy who preaches defense and winning the line of scrimmage, Kentucky came out of the locker room at half and punched our teeth in.  On both sides of the ball.  Have I mentioned they were on the road in their third game under a new coach?  And they’re a basketball school?

The 4th and 2 Play:

This is going to be real unpopular with the “Reed Sucks!” crowd.  I know I can’t win the discussion if you want to yell “Reed Sucks!”

I FULLY agree that Reed should have made that pass to Baker.  I don’t deny that.

However, something happened on that play that shows it ain’t just Reed.

The defensive end on the play side fired through the line completely untouched.  He met Reed right where Reed was about to set up for the throw.  Reed had to do everything he could to avoid pressure and create separation to throw.

He still should have made the pass, but most quarterbacks get sacked there because they don’t have Reed’s speed.

Take a look at this photo.  The defensive end has met Reed right at his rollout point.  There’s not one person open and looking for the ball.  Reed is now running for his life.

I get Reed could still make the pass to Baker, but as we’ve seen, when Reed gets sped up, he’s not accurate.

I think the up back was supposed to get a chip on the guy to slow him down, but he was too slow to alter his path.  We’ve seen that a ton of times in Elko’s time in Aggieland where a blocker didn’t get to the defender in time.

You can see the full play on Twitter here:

As I said, I’m not defending Reed here.  A gamer still makes that pass.  I’m just saying either the play design or execution is in question.  No way that defensive end should have been running unabated to where the quarterback is rolling to.

But I know.  “Reed Sucks!” and there’s no one else to blame for our struggles.

Before I get to my thoughts on what to do with Reed going forward, I do want to touch on the defense a little more.

The Defense:

This defense isn’t bad, but it is wildly inconsistent. It’s been that way in Elko’s time in Aggieland.

Go back to 2024 when South Carolina whipped us at the line of scrimmage.  Go back to 2024 when Auburn scored 21 points to open up the game.  I won’t even talk about the 2024 Texas game, where we just got pushed around, or the Las Vegas Bowl, where our defense cratered against a depleted USC offense.

Go back to the 2025 Notre Dame game where they just gashed us on the ground.  Go back to 2025 Arkansas where we couldn’t get a stop when we needed one.  Luckily, the Arkansas defense was worse than ours that day.  Go back to the first half of last year’s South Carolina game or the second half of the Texas game.

Elko’s defense has not been consistent in his games against P4 opponents.

I don’t know what he’s trying to do on defense.  It’s like he wants to play a base-level defense and get pressure with his front four guys.  It’s not working.  We only pressured the Kentucky quarterback on four plays.  Remember, Kentucky pressured us on 24 plays.  Four plays to 24 plays.

We got whipped at the line of scrimmage on both sides of the ball.  Kentucky pushed us around.

In addition to our defensive line providing no pressure, our safeties and cornerbacks, not named Dezz Ricks, are questionable in coverage.

Our linebackers also seem to be routinely out of position.

We’ve seen this at times from Elko’s defenses at A&M. They can dominate, but they can also be sieves.

It’s a small sample set, but Arizona State and Kentucky have been really effective against our defense at Kyle Field.  If we can’t play defense at Kyle Field, how are things going to look on the road?  

I was hoping Arizona State had a really awesome receiver.  That might be true, but it could also have exposed our coverage issues.

I don’t like the trend, but I’m hopeful Elko can make improvements since we hired him for his supposed defensive expertise.

If not, it won’t matter what our quarterback is doing.

Elko will have his work cut out for him on Saturday night in Baton Rouge.  I’m sure Lane Kiffin is licking his chops watching the Arizona State and Kentucky offenses against our defense.

What To Do with Reed:

I don’t think you can give the keys to Brady Hart for a night game in Death Valley.  That seems like a recipe for a complete disaster.

I know the backup quarterback is always the most popular player at A&M. Reed was that guy once, when Weigman struggled.  Weigman was once that guy when King and Calzada were struggling.  People couldn’t wait to get beyond Kellen Mond to King or Calzada.

I can go on and on with this game, but you get the gist.

It’s how Aggie fans think the season can be saved.  Just put in the backup quarterback.

To be fair, it’s pretty much every fan base when their starting quarterback struggles.

From what I’ve seen from Brady Hart in his few snaps at A&M, he’s not ready.  He’s 18 and has no real experience.

I get “Reed Sucks!” and I don’t disagree, but Elko also deserves some heat for not having an adequate backup behind Reed.  This is the second season in a row we’ve been completely exposed if Reed got hurt or never improved.  That’s completely on Elko.

I know it’s a lot to ask, but Elko and Wiggins have to pull Reed out of the pocket.  I get that running him exposes him, but does that really matter at this point?  His greatest asset without a doubt is his legs.

I can’t recall any designed runs for Reed this season.  It’s all been scrambles, and he’s slow to run.  I don’t know if Reed is reluctant to run because he wants to be a pocket passer or if it’s by design.

If it’s because Reed doesn’t want to run, Elko and Wiggins need to explain to him that it’s the only way to save his job.  He’s gonna lose his job if he stays in the pocket and plays surgical passer.  That’s not who he is.

If your first read isn’t there and you see space, just freaking go.  Let your legs do their thing.

It’s time to try a different approach.  The data is crystal clear on what kind of quarterback Reed is.

Is Elko The Guy?

I’ve seen this discussed a lot since the Kentucky loss.  I’m going to sit on this for a few more games.

He’s got his work cut out for him, but it’s too early to decide.

Like Reed, the data is starting to point a certain way.  But like Reed, he can change that direction if he’s willing to change his ways.

We’ll see how Elko wants to handle things going forward.  He’s 100% complicit in where things stand today.

He’s in his third season at Texas A&M.  He shouldn’t be losing games at Kyle Field to a guy head coaching in his third game ever at a basketball school.

Let’s see what he does against a first-year coach with extensive experience as a head coach at a football school, in one of the most hostile venues in the country.

I don’t like the odds, but what do I know?

I’m just a guy who thinks there are bigger issues beyond “Reed Sucks!”

BTHO LSU!

P.S. – There won’t be a write up after the LSU game. I’m headed to Austria and Germany because they ripped off Wurstfest from our fellow Texans in New Braunfels. Something called Oktoberfest. The game starts at 1:30 am so no idea if I’m going to watch it. May just wake up in the morning, check the score, and debate if I want to download the condensed version on YouTube to watch on the train from Salzburg to Munich.

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Thoughts from the Arizona State Game

I’m not really sure where to begin this analysis.  I’ll also keep it as short as possible.

This game was a total head-scratcher because the score said one thing.  The stat sheet said something completely different.

A 48-20 win seems like a massive beatdown.  Somehow, we outscored Arizona State by 28 points but had 114 fewer yards.  Obviously, turnovers were the big factor in the score difference, but to be outgained by 114 yards is really confusing.

I feel like I’ve seen this game way too many times in the past.  The Aggies have an impressive win, but I walked away with no clue if we’re a good team or not.

Don’t get me wrong – this isn’t a bad football team.  It’s a good team.  I have no clue how good this team is.  I don’t think it’s a great team, but that doesn’t mean it’s a bad team.

I think we’re easily a Top 25 football team.  I think we’re a borderline Top 15 team.  I don’t think we’re a Top 10 team based on what I’ve seen.

Our biggest issue without a doubt is the offense.

We have no running game, and we seem to have an OC who’s clearly learning on the job.

In the first half of the ASU game, I was actually wishing for Collin Klein.  It was clear ASU was running a defense that Wiggins couldn’t figure out how to attack.  They ran a zone defense, and nobody was open.

Couple that with virtually no running game, and this offense was stymied in the first half, much like last week.

We had 130 yards in the first half with 75 yards coming in one drive.  We had 55 yards on 5 other possessions.  That’s 11 yards per possession.  Of those five possessions, three were three-and-outs, so we didn’t even muster a first down.

Just a completely inconsistent offense.  I love the 75-yard drive, but I wish we could have gotten more out of the other five drives.

We got 10 points thanks to special teams on a punt return fumble.  Then the coaching staff did a nice job sniffing out a fake punt that gave us great field position,, and we got a field goal.

Same thing in the second half.  We had 152 yards of offense in the second half.  75 yards on one possession with the other 77 yards on the other six possessions.

Two possessions saw more than half of our offensive yards.  The other 11 possessions averaged 12 yards per possession.

At some point, this offense has to wake up if the Aggies are going to make the playoffs.

The ASU defense was daring us to run the ball while running zone coverage.  It makes sense.  We’ve struggled to establish the run, and Marcel tends to struggle against zone defenses.

This is the recipe defenses will use against us for the rest of the season.  The threat of a rushing attack isn’t there, so play black and clog up passing lanes.

We did exploit the zone, with Horton and Craver scoring touchdowns when they got open because of busted coverage.  There is some hope this offense can figure it out.

Offensive Unit Specifics:

I’ve mentioned it, but we have no running game.  Owens and Morrow ain’t the guys.  KJ Edwards showed off his explosiveness yet again.  I don’t know if you can trust him to handle 20 carries as a true freshman in the SEC.

I fully agree he needs more snaps in the first half.  I think it’s a bit much to expect Edwards to all of a sudden be the focus of our rushing attack.

Elko REALLY should have gone portaling for a running back in the offseason.  I think he’s going to regret that decision.

We have a highly inconsistent quarterback in Marcel Reed.  Sometimes he looks magical, and most of the time he looks lost.  His legs are such a saving grace.

He kept his streak alive by throwing an interception against a P4 opponent.  That’s his fourth straight game and 11th in 13 games since being named the starter.  He’s going to turn the ball over through the air.

But he also threw a beautiful touchdown to a tightly covered Isiah Horton.  That pass was perfect.

Until we see differently, Marcel Reed is exactly who he’s always been as an Aggie quarterback.  He’ll win you more games than he loses you, but he’s not going to win you every game.

The offensive line is totally suspect.  The interior is pretty bad.  Our guards struggle to run and pass block.  You’ll see defenses exploit that.  Our center and right tackle are just okay.  The clear bright spot is Tyree Adams pass blocking at left tackle.  That’s a great bright spot, as it helps Reed not worry about his blindside.

The receiving corps is the receiving corps.  It’s Horton and Craver then I have no clue. Bussey looked much better this week.  I’ll touch on that a bit later.  We’re going to need more yards out of this unit, but they’re limited right now due to coaching and quarterback play.

Offensive Coaching Challenges:

The biggest issue right now is Holmon Wiggins finding his way.  I want to think he’s going to evolve rapidly, but I don’t think it’s gonna happen.  I think he’s going to spend the better part of the game trying to figure out how to attack what he’s seeing from the defense.

His running game and offensive line aren’t helping him, but for the better part of the game, he had no clue how to attack the Arizona defense.  He had two nice drives, but it really seems like feast or famine with him.

This is where Elko really struggles as a head coach.  He offers nothing to the offense.  I think Wiggins would benefit from having someone help him diagnose what the defense is doing in real time, but I don’t think Elko really helps the offense in real time.  He just works the refs on obvious missed calls.

So that leaves an offensive staff that is a cobbled-together unit.

Wiggins is obviously the OC.  Trooper Taylor is the running backs coach.  Adam Cushing is the O-line coach and running game coordinator.  Joey Lynch is the QB coach.  John Perry is the receivers coach, and Derek Shay is the tight ends coach.

Lynch and Perry have experience calling plays but never at an elite level.  In fact, Lynch was let go from Vanderbilt in his last role as OC.

That means this staff has no elite play-calling experience.  Nobody to help guide Wiggins or give feedback.

In addition, this is Lynch and Perry’s first season as actual position coaches for A&M.  They were previously just on staff in analyst roles.

So three people on this offensive staff are working in roles for the first time.  Not much continuity at all.

Ironically, the guys with the most continuity are coaching the two position groups struggling most at running back and offensive line.

Cushing really needs to get this unit squared away and quickly.  We’ve seen offensive lines improve as the season wears on.  Maybe Cushing can get it done.

It’s not all bad with Wiggins as he does have some wrinkles here and there.

He used Terry Bussey well against ASU.  He wasn’t sending Bussey downfield and was using him around the line of scrimmage and underneath the downfield guys.

His use of Bussey on the 4th and 2 was a wonderful play call.

This offense could keep growing, but we’re getting into SEC play.  Even if the offense grows, it’s not going to show up on paper because the defenses get tougher from here.

Just go ahead and expect a consistently inconsistent offense from here on out.

Defense:

From a defensive standpoint, I don’t know what to make of that defensive performance.

First off, that receiver for Arizona State is really good.  He accounted for half of Arizona State’s offensive yards and all of their touchdowns. The problem is, we’re going to see receivers like him again.

We can’t just chalk it up to an elite receiver we won’t see again.

Arizona State rushed for 115 yards, but they didn’t have a rush over 20 yards and no rushing touchdowns.  29 rushes for an average of 4.0 yards per carry.

Sure, I’d like to see a more dominant rushing defense, but their rushing game didn’t really hurt us.

From a passing standpoint, we did a nice job, except for their leading receiver.  He had nine catches for 189 yards and the two scores.  Their next leading receiver had nine receptions for 29 yards.

The most obvious positive thing from our defense was the two interceptions returned for touchdowns.  That was like a boxer just landing two massive punches, putting the opponent on the ground for good.  They weren’t getting up.

I think our defense has some dudes that need to get used to playing with each other.  I’ve got some high hopes for this defensive line as they get more experience individually and together.

The defense has always been Mike Elko’s calling card, and I know that’s a big reason he was hired.  Other than one guy having his way with us, this defense has looked the part in two games.

But it has been Missouri State and Arizona State.  We’ll face much better offenses in the SEC.  This defense is going to see some much bigger tests.

I have no idea if it’s going to hold up. It’ll be good enough to keep us in most games, but there might be holes we haven’t seen an offense exploit.  My biggest concern is safeties in coverage.  It’s been an issue the past two seasons against better offenses.

We should get Daymion Sanford back this week.  He was excellent last season, and he should be a big boost to our defense.

The best defender right now is Dezz Ricks.  He’s got his receivers flat-out locked down.   He’s really developed into a shutdown corner.

The ends, Jones, Saka, and Searcy, have looked great.  Hicks has looked really good at defensive tackle.  Some guys are playing really well.

This defense is going to have some hiccups along the way, but in two games, they’ve played pretty good football other than letting Reed Harris have his way on Saturday.  It appears Kenny Dillingham got a complete steal getting Harris from Boston College via the portal.

I wish we had him.

I know I’m hedging with my defensive analysis, but I just don’t know if I can trust this defense against better SEC offenses. There are a lot of bright spots, but there are just enough holes to make me cautious. Call me a battered Aggie Football fan.

Special Teams:

Other than the Tyler White muffed snap, the special teams have been damn good this season.  We’re 4/4 on field goal attempts.

Quite a bit of change from last season.

Obviously, our recovery of Arizona State’s muffed punt was outstanding.  The best part of that play was the first man down taking out the punt returner so he couldn’t recover his mistake.  That was a real heads-up play and key to us getting the ball.

Bussey had a great punt return.

I was critical of Elko’s timeout on a 4th-down punt attempt against Missouri State, but he wisely used a timeout on a 4th-down punt against Arizona State.

I assumed they picked up something coming out of the timeout; Arizona State attempted the fake punt and got nowhere.  That created a 17-10 lead at half instead of a likely 14-10 halftime lead.

Anytime you use a timeout for points, it’s well spent.

Two games in, the special teams look really improved from last season.  We don’t have Concepcion returning punts, so that’s the only real negative.  That happens though.  Replacing first-round NFL guys isn’t easy.

Looking Forward:

I still stand by this is an 8-4 to 10-2 team.  Based on the first two weeks, LSU and Texas are losses.  Those games are certainly winnable, but I think their offenses will outpace ours.

Alabama seems like a tough one, but I need to see more from them.

Oklahoma took a massive step back with their loss to Michigan.  Our game against them might look like a 1930s game with both offenses struggling to gain yards.

I still need to see more of Tennessee and South Carolina.

I want to think we can beat the rest of our schedule that isn’t any of those teams, but who knows.

We’ll find out more this weekend against Kentucky.

Sponsor:

The 2026 Aggie Football season is once again brought to you by Old Smokey. It’s the lifetime disposable grill that’s been manufactured just North of Downtown Houston since 1950. When you need an affordable and reliable grill, Old Smokey is for you.

Thoughts from the Missouri State Game

The good news about Saturday night’s game was that I saw nothing I didn’t expect.

The bad news about Saturday night’s game was that I saw nothing I didn’t expect.

Coming into this season, I expected the Aggies to be somewhere between 8-4 and 10-2.  And while the difference between 10-2 and 8-4 seems like a long way, it could really be a total of 10 points or less where you lose or win a couple of games by 4 points or less.

It’s only one game, but I saw everything I expected coming into the season:

  • A stout defense
  • An iffy offensive line
  • Two receivers who are head and shoulders above the rest
  • No bell cow running back
  • A slightly improved Marcel Reed

Maybe it’s confirmation bias, but those points sum up what I saw on Saturday night.

This game was an Aggie Football game I’ve seen many times before.  Playing an inferior opponent, we struggle on offense in the first half.  Then we lean on them in the second half.  The result is an absolute blowout, and most people forget the first-half issues until they surface later in the season against a superior team.

I’m not saying this team can’t improve and history won’t repeat itself, but we didn’t look like an elite team on Saturday night.  This looked like an Aggie team we’ve seen under Fran, Sherman, Sumlin, and Jimbo.  Sure, not exactly, but we’ve seen that first-half struggle evaporate in the second half only to show up again late in the season.

I hope I’m wrong, but that’s what I saw on Saturday night.

I’m not saying this is a bad team.  This is a really good team.  It’s a Top 20 team, but with our schedule, I’m not sure it’s a CFP team.

We’re going to need elite level on both sides of the ball to make the CFP this season.  I didn’t see elite-level stuff on the offensive side of the ball.  

Beyond my offensive concerns, look at our schedule to see how tough it’ll be to make the CFP if we don’t improve offensively.

It’s only Week 1, but I can see us losing to LSU, Oklahoma, and Texas.  Then I think we lose to one of Bama or Tennessee.

Heck, we could lose to those five teams AND to South Carolina to go 6-6.

We’ll find out more next weekend as Arizona State is a lot better than people think.  We should win this game, but they’ll prove a much tougher test than Missouri State did.

Let’s look at some specific things about the game:

Defense:

I can’t criticize the defense at all for their performance.

Zero points, 73 total yards, and 1/10 on third downs.

It was an impressive performance, as Missouri State couldn’t do anything offensively.

One series early in the second quarter saw Missouri State running up the gut like they had discovered something.  They ripped off 6 rushes for 26 yards.

I got a little concerned Missouri State had found a weakness.

Then on 3rd and 2, we stuffed them.  They went for it on 4th and 2, and we stopped them for a one-yard loss.

A third of their yards in one series.  And when it mattered most, we stuffed them to end the drive.

I have no idea how elite this defense can be, but if it can travel, it’ll be the main reason we have any shot at the CFP.

If the offense struggles for an entire game, can this defense hold up for four quarters where we’re not just dominating time of possession?

Only time will tell.

Let’s see what they do over the next two games.

Offensive Line:

We’ll go from the strongest point to the weakest point.

On the very first offensive play of the year, the left guard or left tackle blew their assignments.  Or, we have an offensive scheme that lets defenders have free lanes inside the tackles.

Luckily, Marcel recognized it and took off running for a seven-yard gain.

It didn’t look good at all.

The rest of the way, they had a couple of false starts, allowed back-to-back sacks, and a holding call.

I get this was their first game as a unit, but this was also Missouri State.  Blown assignments and false starts shouldn’t occur.

Even worse, we really couldn’t establish the run on the ground until the second half.

I’ll give this unit credit – they came out in the second half and just dominated on the ground.  We had 76 rushing yards in the first half and then 160 yards in the second.

I have no idea how much improvement this offensive line has.  I can’t help but think it’s going to struggle at times to establish the run and keep pressure off Marcel.

It may take a massive leap, but I can’t see that right now.

I know all the Aggie talking heads rave about Adam Cushing as the offensive line coach, but I don’t see it in his time in Aggieland.  Don’t get me wrong, I don’t think Cushing is Addazzio-level bad, but I haven’t seen any dominant play since he’s been here.

He had four guys drafted last year, so he’s had talent.  But for two seasons, his unit faltered when it mattered most in November.

For one game in his third season, his unit had MASSIVE errors in the first half against an inferior opponent.

I hope I’m wrong, but I think this will be the weakest link in 2026.  They’ll be the reason we’re not a CFP team.

We have seen the rare Aggie team where the end-of-season offensive line looked completely different.

Receiving Corps:

They didn’t have great statistical evenings, but Isiah Horton and Mario Craver looked the part when they did have touches.

Horton led the way with 4 catches for 76 yards, including a touchdown.  He had another big catch negated on offensive pass interference, where he appeared to push off.  I don’t think he really did, but he did extend his arms, which made it look like he created illegal separation.

Craver had five catches for 41 yards, including a touchdown.  He didn’t have any big plays, but he had a couple of catches where he created yards out of nothing simply because he has elite acceleration and body control.

His touchdown didn’t come across as anything amazing, but Marcel threaded a ball Craver caught in traffic at the one-yard line.  He was hit right after catching the ball, but he didn’t go down or backward.  He just moved backward across the goal line.

He reminds me so much of Achane but in receiver form.  He’s slight of stature, but has elite-level acceleration and body control.  In addition, he can absorb contact and keep gaining yards.  

We have to figure out a way to get Craver the ball in space more.

After Horton and Craver, I’m not sure what else we have.  Bethel-Roman was nonexistent.  Although Terry Bussey was our third leading receiver, I didn’t think he looked next level like he had been talked about in the summer camp.  

He had three catches for 34 yards.  He and Marcel couldn’t quite connect on an open touchdown.  I put half on Bussey and half on Reed.  Reed led him a little too much, but it’s possible Bussey could have caught it with a little better adjustment.

In addition to that missed play, there was an isolated pass to Bussey in the end zone.  Reed had Bussey in single coverage and let the ball fly on a pretty decent pass.  Bussey didn’t get any separation and didn’t seem to really see the ball.  Bussey never made any kind of play on the ball.

Elite receivers see that ball early and position themselves to win man-on-man coverage, especially against inferior competition.

I know Bussey scored on a 10-yard jet sweep, which was really nice.  Then he got stuffed for no yards the next time he took the ball on a jet sweep.  Such a yin and yang on the exact same play call.

Maybe Bussey keeps developing, but all I can say is my ears have heard much more about him than my eyes have seen.

I think Bussey is a fourth receiver in a gadget-style role at best.

He seems to have the same problem Kendrick Rogers had – He’s not very good at catching the ball when going downfield.  They’re different-style receivers, but from what I’ve seen of both, they’re not great downfield receivers.  Rogers loved catching the ball fully facing the quarterback, and Bussey seems to do much better catching the ball around the line of scrimmage.

Not trying to slam Bussey, but I can only judge what my eyes see in games because I’m not at practice.

A couple of the young guys, Kelshaun Johnson and Aaron Gregory, had some nice catches.  It wouldn’t shock me if they start taking snaps from Bussey.

My biggest hope is that Bethel-Roman finds his late-season magic and becomes the third amigo to Horton and Craver.  We’ll need him if we have any hope of making the CFP.

While this isn’t a terrible receiving group, I don’t think it’s elite.  It’s nowhere near what we’ve seen at LSU, Alabama, and Ohio State in the last decade.

Running Backs:

As for running back, I didn’t see a lot.  I thought Owens looked the best he’s looked since his time at A&M.  He was running way more decisively than I’ve ever seen him.  He wasn’t dancing around and was just running forward, even gaining yards after initial contact.

I don’t think he’s a bell cow back by any stretch, but he does appear to be more evolved as a runner.  He’s more decisive getting upfield rather than dancing around hoping he can break a big run.

I think Owens could be a great complementary back.

The problem is, I didn’t see anyone we can complement him with.  There is someone with promise, but I’ll get to him in a little bit.

Jamarion Morrow is supposed to be our backup running back, but like Terry Bussey, my ears have heard way more than my eyes have seen from a production standpoint.  He rushed eight times for 29 yards, which averages to 3.6 yards per carry.  He had a long of eight yards.

Against Missouri State.


Conversely, Owens rushed 17 times for 77 yards, averaging 4.5 yards per carry, with a long of 15.

Those are our top two running backs against Missouri State.  I don’t know how much of it was our offensive line, but it doesn’t give me the warm fuzzies.

I know Elko is loyal to his guys, but I have no idea why he didn’t go get a veteran running back out of the portal for this season.

There was one glimmer of light, and that was KJ Edwards.  He had five carries for 44 yards, including a long of 13 yards.  Most importantly, he LOOKED different.  He looked like he had more explosion than any other running back.

Carsyn Baker also had some nice runs, gaining 52 yards on seven carries.  He didn’t look explosive like Edwards, but he was productive.

Edwards averaged 8.8 yards a carry, and Baker averaged 7.4 yards a carry.  I know much of that was against a worn-down Missouri State defense, but you have to like seeing production when given the opportunity.

I’m not totally ready to give up on Morrow just yet, but it wouldn’t bother me if Edwards and Baker started getting more touches.

No matter what you think about Owens, he’s going to have to be an integral part of our offense this season.  I’m hoping he actually takes a step forward even if it doesn’t look like he’ll ever be a bell cow back.

But Elko should have gone portaling for an experienced running back.

Marcel Reed:

I’m going to try and not spend a ton of time on Reed.  I think a lot of opinions are made up on him either way.

Before I go any further on Reed, let’s stop with the “Marcel Reed” chant at Kyle.  If, the day after Thanksgiving, Reed is living up to his words of beating Texas, it can be fired up.  Until then, I don’t want to hear it.

I also don’t want to see the horns down on the jumbotron when we’re not playing Texas, but I know I’ll never win that battle.  We don’t want to be called little brother, but we act like little brother.

I digress…

I thought Reed looked better from a mechanical standpoint.  I thought his decision-making was better than last year.  He had some passes I don’t think he would have made last season.

Specifically, he threw some darts rolling to his left.  I don’t recall him doing that last season.  He also had some touch passes to guys where they had some touch rather than bullets.  One was to Owens on a checkdown, and the other I think was to Craver out in the flats.  Both guys were able to catch the ball and immediately transfer to a running back with no missed stride.

Marcel just looks like he’s advanced as a passer. Maybe not enough to win a Heisman on his own, but I did see progression from last season.

He still missed some guys and also had at least one interception go through a Missouri State defender’s hands.

He ran REALLY well.  He rushed five times for 36 yards, so he averaged a little over 7 yards a carry.  Most of those were his decision to run due to pressure, and they were the right decision.

I still believe Reed has elite pocket awareness.  That might be hindering his downfield vision, but he recognizes immediate pressure really well.

I’d rather have that than some guy looking downfield with no idea of what’s about to hammer him.

We’ve heard all offseason how Reed has cleaned up his game and is protecting the ball.  I’m not totally sure that’s accurate based on what I saw on Saturday night.  

He’s definitely improved mechanically, but it’s really hard to judge his improved decision-making against a team like Missouri State.

We’ll find out a lot more when Reed takes on Arizona State and Kentucky.

I’ve said it before, and I’ll say it again because I still believe it – Marcel Reed is not going to win you a national championship.  If the other pieces of the team are in place, you can win a national championship with Marcel Reed.

It’s as simple as that with him as a quarterback.

I just don’t think we have the other pieces, with the offensive line issues and then true talent and depth with our running backs and receivers.

Only time will tell if I’m right.

I hope I’m wrong and we’re headed to the CFP while Kyle Field is chanting, “Marcel Reed.”  

Holmon Wiggins:

I’m going to give Holmon Wiggins an incomplete for this game.  That’s not because I didn’t like what I saw from him.

It just means this completely felt like a dress rehearsal where he was trying to run as many different plays as possible.  I think he wanted to see what plays looked like against a non-scrimmage defense.

There was never any kind of rhythm to what we were doing, and it was really like, “Let’s run this play and see what happens.”  In the end, we just out-athleted them, and that’s okay.  Along the way, enough offensive plays were made to put 48 points on the board.

It could have been much worse, where we struggled offensively through the whole game.

The one positive I did like was moving Reed in the pocket on rollouts.  I’ve already talked about it, but I thought Reed looked remarkably well throwing passes while rolling left.  That’s not a natural thing, and if Reed can continue to do that, it’ll make defending him much harder.

The one thing I didn’t see from Wiggins that I have to think he has in his pocket is route combinations.  This is where two receivers run off the line in the same space before making the breaks to hopefully confuse the defense.

It seemed we ran a lot of individual routes.  I think that’s fine, as you don’t want to give those route combos away while seeing what receivers can create separation on their own.

Obviously we need to see a lot more from Wiggins, but I think he did fine in his first dress rehearsal.

Mike Elko:

As for Elko, I didn’t like what I saw offensively in the first half.  I know we have an OC and position coaches that are responsible for the details, but this offensive unit, and especially the offensive line, was not prepared.  Some of that has to fall on the head coach.

I know we’re going to blame first-game jitters and the line never playing together, but this was Missouri State at Kyle Field at night.  We had three weeks of training camp and our offensive line blew an assignment on the first play.  They false-started twice and gave up back-to-back sacks.

Against Missouri State in a night game at Kyle Field.  It doesn’t get any easier from here.

Elite teams come out of the blocks executing and not fumbling their way around because of nerves, or they’re not used to playing with each other against someone from another team.

As for why things looked different in the second half, he gave his “zen” answer of all the work that was done in the off-season.  It’s the same speech he gave after the South Carolina game.

The reality is we went to base-level blocking schemes and moved Missouri State off the ball until they were ground into a pulp.  That’s fine for that game, but it’s not going to work week in and week out in the SEC.  And now we have one more SEC game than before.

In my nitpicking way, I thought the timeout on 4th down when we were about to receive the punt in the second half was dumbfounding.  I haven’t seen where anyone asked him why it was called, so we have the answer.

It was likely called because we didn’t have the right personnel on the field, or we saw something from Missouri State we weren’t expecting.

Not having the right personnel, which is a major preparation error, or the staff saw something from the Missouri State alignment they didn’t like.  If the latter was the case, I would have let it ride to see if the return unit could have figured it out.

It wouldn’t have hurt us in the grand scheme.

I personally thought a timeout there was a little lazy, but that’s just me.  You need to operate with a feeling that a second-half timeout is like a gold bar.  You’re not going to give it away if there’s not a serious gain for using it.

I know I’m being critical and nitpicking Elko, but I’m looking through a lens of wanting to make the CFP.  We need to be elite and not just above average.

I will give Elko credit in that he’s so far been a great roster builder.   I think he might be a better general manager than a head coach, but only time will tell.  I hope I’m wrong and he’s an elite head coach.

The good news in getting this far is you’ve wasted a large amount of time reading one person’s ramblings about the first game for the 2026 Aggie Football team.

That just means we’re closer to this Saturday, when we get to see one more piece of the 2026 Aggie Football puzzle.

BTHO Arizona State.

P.S. – I’ve mentioned it, but this is going to be a great test for us.  ASU doesn’t stack up with us talent-wise, but their head coach is excellent.  This will be a wonderful test right before we start SEC play.  I hope we pass it…

SPONSOR

The 2026 Aggie Football season is once again brought to you by Old Smokey. It’s the lifetime disposable grill that’s been manufactured just North of Downtown Houston since 1950. When you need an affordable and reliable grill, Old Smokey is for you.