Some Aggie fans seemed to be teeth-gnashing during and after that Mississippi State game. I get it to a degree. We wanted to put them away, and we never did.
On the other hand, this game was really never in question. Even when MSU opened up the game with a touchdown, the Aggie offense marched down on its first possession to tie the game. We responded right away.
Then, we forced a punt and scored a touchdown to go up 14-7. We never looked back from there.
MSU would get within 4 points a couple of times, but I never felt like we were losing that game.
Despite MSU taking their best shots, we controlled that game from the moment we got our hands on the ball until the final seconds clicked off.
We could have and should have put them away much earlier in the game, but we never truly let them back in once we went up 14-7. The momentum never really swung to Mississippi State’s side. When they had a chance to swing the momentum, we answered immediately.
I’m not going to do a deep analysis mostly because I’m happy we got out of Starkville with a solid enough win. Those things have been few and far between.
I know MSU doesn’t look like a great team due to their record, but they’re not a pushover. They don’t have the talent other teams have but they’re going to take some swings. Van Buren is not afraid to throw the ball around and he’s not terrible. I wouldn’t be shocked if they beat one of Arkansas, Missouri, or Ole Miss before this season’s done.
I’m mostly looking at Missouri since that game is in Starkville.
Offense:
Conner Weigman finally threw his first interception in the SEC. I’ve been waiting on this. The first interception was one he sailed, and then he had two more potential interceptions dropped. His second interception was a shallow underneath pass where he again didn’t see the defender sitting there.
It’s a little concerning. That’s now four interceptions on the season in essentially 3 games. I’m not counting the McNeese State game as an actual game. They all had the same last name on the back of the jerseys.
He did look pretty good outside of those four passes, though.
His touchdown pass to Noah Thomas was beautiful. He also did a great job making some key passes on third downs to move the chains.
He was 15 for 25, which is a 60% completion rate. That’s a pretty good day for most quarterbacks at the office.
We still don’t know what we have in Conner Weigman, though. Is he the Missouri quarterback? Is he the Notre Dame quarterback? Is he somewhere in between, like this game?
His sample set is too small, but we’ll learn a lot this Saturday night. LSU will be the biggest test of his collegiate career.
As for the rest of the offense, I thought they did fine.
The offensive line was wonderful at pass blocking, giving Conner all kinds of time. They weren’t as dominant in the rushing game as I would have liked, but they did enough blocking to keep the ball moving.
Moss and Daniels were good enough on the ground, combining for 112 yards and three touchdowns on 29 carries. That’s a 3.86-yard average per carry. That’s not great, but it’s also not terrible.
Moss’ two biggest runs were called back because of penalties. That was 68 yards of rushing called back, thanks to an illegal formation and a questionable holding call. We’ve seen worse holds not get called by SEC officials.
If those runs had happened, the total yards would have shot up to 190 yards on 31 carries for 6.12 yards per carry. That’s a solid day.
Moss continues to prove he’s one of the best running backs in the SEC, and only SEC officials can truly slow him down.
At receiver, Jabre Barber had a really nice day, catching all 6 of his passes for 92 yards. Noah Thomas had a nice 20-yard touchdown catch in the end zone. Weigman barely missed him earlier in that drive. That would have likely been a 62-yard touchdown catch.
Cyrus Allen had a big catch he couldn’t quite haul in.
We didn’t have Terry Bussey, who I think would have been a factor from a receiving standpoint.
I know my analysis is sporadic, but that’s how that whole game was. At points, it looked like a solid rhythm was about to emerge, and then something would happen where it stopped.
Then we would get going again, and something else would disrupt it.
I know I was hard on Klein before the Missouri game, but I thought what he did on the first two drives of this game was really good. He took some shots and had some wrinkles the defense wasn’t quite ready for. We had two great drives to open up the game, scoring on drives of 74 and 81 yards.
We then scored a touchdown on our fourth possession, thanks to a short field from our defense. We scored 21 points in the first half on essentially four possessions.
We might have scored on the fourth possession if Conner hadn’t sailed that first interception.
The second half was sporadic, and I’m not sure why. Much of it was just trying to control the ball because the defense was flat-out bringing it in the second half.
I think Elko likely told Klein to let’s just get out of Starkville with a win. Don’t get cute. Take what the defense is giving so we can grind yards and clock.
Had Conner not had the second-half interception and had Moss not had his long run called back, the scoreboard would have looked entirely different. But that’s football.
I’m not super proud of the offensive effort in this game because it was sporadic, but I’m not disappointed with it either. They stayed in front of Mississippi State in Starkville.
Defense:
The Aggie defense was a tale of two halves.
In the first half, they couldn’t stop giving up big plays. They were bringing plenty of pressure, but their failure to tackle at the second level resulted in some decent plays for Mississippi State.
The Aggie defense got a lot of that cleaned up in the second half, where there weren’t a lot of runs that even got to the second level.
If it wasn’t for Weigman’s interception, I don’t think Mississippi State even scores a point in the second half. The Aggie defense was that dominant.
Elko has two main calling cards from a defensive standpoint:
- Halftime Adjustments
- Third Down Conversions
We obviously had some serious halftime adjustments because Mississippi State struggled to move the ball in the second half. They had six offensive possessions in the second half, the longest one for 26 yards. That’s a controlling defense.
Third-down conversions were 5/16. I’m going off memory, but I feel like they had nine straight third-downs that didn’t convert.
After the Arkansas game, I wrote I was worried about the defensive line because I didn’t want a duplication of last year’s defensive line. That unit was good against inferior offensive lines but couldn’t bring pressure against decent offensive lines.
Well, this defensive line is not last year’s defensive line. This unit is DISRUPTIVE. I don’t know if it’s the best defensive line in the country, but it’s certainly in the conversation. These guys flat-out get after it and are the difference-makers for this whole team.
They continue to just live in the backfield, disrupting the opposing offense’s whole rhythm.
The linebacking trio of York, Williams, and Sanford continue to make massive strides as players, and the hybrid end/linebacker duo of Howell and Kennedy continue to make strides.
While they’re not always perfect, these guys disrupt, making it hard on an offense. Couple that with Elko and Bateman making adjustments, and this group of guys is just outstanding.
This defense still has issues in the secondary, most obviously at the safety positions. I’m going to include the nickel as a safety.
Jaydon Hill (number 8) needs to never see the field again. He is routinely burned on deep balls. It’s pretty clear offensive coordinators are trying to get him into man coverage with a receiver, and then they just burn him. He’s an obvious liability, and putting him in positions where he has man coverage on a wide receiver is foolish.
I wrote about him after the Missouri game, but the regression of Bryce Anderson is unreal. This dude has the raw athletic talent and seems to have the desire, but he’s not doing anything. He’s just nowhere to be found in the secondary. He had a couple of missed tackles on those big plays. I guess you keep running him out there, hoping the light finally comes on.
Dalton Brooks continues to play well. I think BJ Mayes is about to be the new nickel, and Marcus Ratcliffe is pushing Bryce Anderson to get his safety spot.
I thought Will Lee and Dez Ricks did decent enough at corner. They seemed to be playing with a big cushion, but I think that was more to keep Van Buren from going for big shots.
At least against them. Van Buren got a couple of big shots against Hill.
Overall, this secondary is doing enough, but it is clearly the weakest link behind the linebackers and defensive line.
I will give Elko credit. With all the transfers he brought in, he’s absolutely improved this unit. I questioned their ability before the season, but he’s absolutely developing them.
It’s not elite by any stretch, but it’s a massive improvement that has allowed this defense to make some strides from last season.
What About LSU?
Whatever happened in the Mississippi State game won’t matter around 10:30 on Saturday evening.
At that point, we’ll have either beat LSU or lost to LSU. Not a single person cheering for the maroon and white (yes, I’m aware of the rumors) will care about what happened in the Mississippi State game.
Hell, you probably don’t even care about Mississippi State right now.
I know the Aggies are a 3-point favorite to LSU, but to me, this is a total coin-flip game. It will all come down to which quarterback has the best game.
LSU is coming off what is probably their best game of the season. They basically controlled Arkansas from start to finish. Arkansas got down early and fought back in the second quarter and early in the third quarter, but they never truly threatened. LSU put it away late in third quarter thanks to an interception at the Arkansas 2 yard line. It was over at that point with the score at 24-10.
I’ve watched a good portion of LSU in their bigger games this season. They have an amazing collection of talent at some key positions.
Nussmeier can sling it as well as any quarterback in the country. Kyren Lacy has the talent to be the best receiver in college football. Caden Durham is starting to come on as a true freshman running the ball. They have one of the best offensive lines in the country.
Their offense has struggled at times, but when they find their gear, it’s as good as any offense in the country.
Their defense has been an issue this season, but they’ve played really well in the last two games against Ole Miss and Arkansas. Their defense seems to be finding its footing under first-year defensive coordinator Blake Baker.
Whit Weeks is the heart and soul of this defense, especially with Harold Perkins gone for the season.
The rest of the defense has talent, as there are plenty of guys that A&M recruited but ended up in Baton Rouge.
As usual, talent is not the problem in Baton Rouge.
The coaching matchup is going to be interesting because I don’t think Brian Kelly is that involved during a game. I think he approves the game plans during the week and then just lets it roll on Saturday nights.
He’ll ask some questions occasionally but doesn’t appear to be active in giving his coordinators guidance.
He’s a damn fine football coach, but I think he believes more in letting the script play out than tinkering with it during the game. It’s won him a lot more games than he lost, but I think it’s bit him a few times, especially in season openers.
Elko, on the other hand, seems a bit more involved with making adjustments, especially from a defensive standpoint.
This game will be a chess match because each team’s offense and defense are so different. LSU’s strength is its offense, while A&M’s strength is its defense.
A&M would love to establish the run and keep the LSU offense off the field while the LSU offense will want to take shots through the air. Nussmeier is averaging 40 passes a game at a 65% completion rate.
The dude wants to sling it. Nussmeier is going to get yards through the air. It’s just a matter of limiting the big plays and obviously score.
It’s all going to come down to Conner Weigman keeping the chains moving to chew the clock and then the Aggie defense pressuring Nussmeier for what snaps he’s taking out there.
It’s entirely possible, but I don’t see it.
I think LSU is playing with too much confidence coming off the big wins against Ole Miss and Arkansas. Confidence and talent are tough to overcome.
I don’t think A&M has been tested quite enough where LSU has. I see LSU making more plays than the Aggies.
I do think the Aggies will make a game of it, and it’ll be a back-and-forth contest for much of the night.
I just don’t think the Aggies have LSU’s talent, and LSU seems to be clicking right now.
I think LSU wins 27-23.
I hope Conner proves me wrong and he has the game of his life on Saturday night. The Aggies will need it to beat the Tigers.
I’m ready for things to not be like they used to be.
Georgia/Texas:
Real quick thoughts on the game in Austin on Saturday night:
• Kirby Smart is the new Nick Saban. The dude is head and shoulders above every college coach out there. I know he lost to Bama, but Georgia is about to march to Atlanta, taking out Tennessee and Ole Miss along the way. When the dust settles, they’ll be the SEC Champion and number one seed in the playoff.
• Texas is a damn good football team. Their offense just wasn’t ready for Georgia’s defense. Their defense is legit, and they did everything they could to keep them in that game. I think it’s possible they drop another game before coming to Kyle, but if I had to wager, they roll into Kyle at 10-1, looking to get past us and to Atlanta. I think it’ll be LSU and Georgia in Atlanta, but Texas will roll into Kyle determined to get past us to Atlanta.
• I hope the officiating fiasco on Saturday night finally spurs Greg Sankey into doing something about the quality of officiating in his league. Schools are making hundreds of millions from their football program, and the SEC is trotting out officials that screw up time and time again and aren’t held accountable. It’s bad leadership from him.